Buffalo Bulls
2026: 1-0 · Elo 1411 · #155 of 240 · 21.0 for, 17.0 against · ATS 0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- -12.7
- SP+ (2025)
- -7.5
- Talent composite
- 549
- Returning production
- -1%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 53%
- Standard-down share
- 66%
- Plays / game
- 66
- Possession / game
- 28:04
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Interception rate
- #32 · 1.7%
- Stuff rate
- #67 · 19%
- Passing-down PPA
- #75 · +0.28
- Havoc rate faced
- #87 · 16.1%
- Standard-down PPA
- #127 · −0.03
- Rushing PPA / play
- #127 · −0.03
- Turnovers / game
- #125 · 1.83
- Completion %
- #117 · 57%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Interceptions forced
- #9 · 4.1%
- Completion %
- #13 · 56%
- Passing-down PPA
- #18 · +0.17
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #22 · 3.07
- Pass explosiveness
- #97 · 1.61
- Stuff rate forced
- #93 · 17%
- Line yards / rush
- #78 · 2.96
- Havoc rate
- #74 · 15.3%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3W1 | vs UAlbany Great Danes | W 21–17 | -18.5 | ALB 51% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | at Florida International Panthers | — | — | BUFF 50% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | at #18 Penn State Nittany Lions | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs Robert Morris Colonials | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | vs Western Michigan Broncos | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | at Toledo Rockets | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | vs Massachusetts Minutemen | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | vs Bowling Green Falcons | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 3W10 | at Miami (OH) RedHawks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 11W11 | at Ball State Cardinals | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 18W12 | vs Central Michigan Chippewas | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 27W13 | at Akron Zips | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.