Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Colorado Buffaloes

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1412 · #153 of 240 · 14.0 for, 13.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs WEB · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

14121500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
+0.7
SP+ (2025)
-8.3
Talent composite
732
Returning production
14%

How they play

Pass rate
50%
Standard-down share
62%
Plays / game
58
Possession / game
28:50

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#9 · 1.77
Rush explosiveness
#27 · 1.08
Interception rate
#30 · 1.7%
Passing-down PPA
#61 · +0.32
Rush success rate
#130 · 35%
Havoc rate faced
#128 · 19.7%
Pass success rate
#121 · 35%
Standard-down PPA
#120 · −0.01

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Completion %
#12 · 55%
Interceptions forced
#29 · 3.4%
Power success
#37 · 67%
Third-down conversion
#37 · 35%
Pass explosiveness
#131 · 1.82
Yards / rush
#130 · 5.3
Passing PPA / play
#126 · +0.41
Standard-down PPA
#112 · +0.17
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 3W1atGeorgia Tech Yellow JacketsW 14–13+6.5GT 83%
Sep 12W2vsWeber State WildcatsCOLO 57%
Sep 19W3atNorthwestern Wildcats
Sep 26W4atBaylor Bears
Oct 3W5vs#12 Texas Tech Red Raiders
Oct 17W7vs#21 Utah Utes
Oct 24W8atOklahoma State Cowboys
Oct 31W9vsKansas State Wildcats
Nov 7W10atArizona State Sun Devils
Nov 13W11vs#23 Houston Cougars
Nov 21W12atCincinnati Bearcats
Nov 28W13vsUCF Knights

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.