Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Kansas State Wildcats

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1637 · #37 of 240 · 71.0 for, 3.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs WSU · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

16371500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+9.2
SP+ (2025)
+7.0
Talent composite
719
Returning production
71%

How they play

Pass rate
47%
Standard-down share
66%
Plays / game
63
Possession / game
29:01

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Rush explosiveness
#3 · 1.20
Yards / rush
#22 · 5.2
Points / scoring opportunity
#32 · 4.15
Standard-down PPA
#35 · +0.17
Stuff rate
#118 · 22%
Interception rate
#110 · 3.8%
Havoc rate faced
#107 · 17.5%
Power success
#100 · 67%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Takeaways / game
#4 · 2.17
Completion %
#22 · 57%
Passing PPA / play
#27 · +0.15
Pass success rate
#30 · 38%
Rush explosiveness
#128 · 1.12
Interceptions forced
#101 · 1.8%
Pass explosiveness
#86 · 1.58
Rushing PPA / play
#80 · +0.12
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsNicholls ColonelsW 71–3-41.5KSU 82%loss0.0
Sep 12W2vsWashington State Cougars-16.5KSU 66%
Sep 19W3vsTulane Green Wave
Sep 26W4atCincinnati Bearcats
Oct 10W6vs#23 Houston Cougars
Oct 17W7vsKansas Jayhawks-7.5
Oct 24W8atArizona State Sun Devils
Oct 31W9atColorado Buffaloes
Nov 7W10vsOklahoma State Cowboys
Nov 14W11atTCU Horned Frogs
Nov 21W12vsArizona Wildcats
Nov 28W13atIowa State Cyclones

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.