Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Tennessee Volunteers

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1731 · #19 of 240 · 56.0 for, 9.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: at GT · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

17311500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
1-0
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+17.3
SP+ (2025)
+15.0
Talent composite
886
Returning production
35%

How they play

Pass rate
48%
Standard-down share
74%
Plays / game
65
Possession / game
27:22

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Power success
#2 · 85%
Rush success rate
#3 · 52%
Standard-down PPA
#3 · +0.28
Pass success rate
#9 · 50%
Rush explosiveness
#72 · 0.96
Interception rate
#64 · 2.3%
Pass explosiveness
#56 · 1.57
Turnovers / game
#55 · 1.15

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Rush explosiveness
#14 · 0.85
Havoc rate
#19 · 18.4%
Takeaways / game
#37 · 1.54
Stuff rate forced
#47 · 20%
Power success
#125 · 82%
Rush success rate
#122 · 48%
Completion %
#118 · 66%
Points / scoring opportunity
#109 · 4.09
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsFurman PaladinsW 56–9-49.5TENN 78%win0.0
Sep 12W2atGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets-12TENN 59%
Sep 19W3vsKennesaw State Owls
Sep 26W4vs#5 Texas Longhorns+6.5
Oct 3W5vsAuburn Tigers
Oct 10W6atArkansas Razorbacks
Oct 17W7vs#13 Alabama Crimson Tide+1.5
Oct 24W8atSouth Carolina Gamecocks
Nov 7W10vsKentucky Wildcats
Nov 14W11at#8 Texas A&M Aggies+8.5
Nov 21W12vs#11 LSU Tigers+1.5
Nov 28W13atVanderbilt Commodores-3

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.