Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Rice Owls

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1373 · #189 of 240 · 31.0 for, 3.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: at ND · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

13731500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
0/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
-15.3
SP+ (2025)
-14.8
Talent composite
590
Returning production
39%

How they play

Pass rate
28%
Standard-down share
68%
Plays / game
57
Possession / game
32:43

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Turnovers / game
#12 · 0.85
Interception rate
#19 · 1.3%
Pass explosiveness
#28 · 1.67
Completion %
#28 · 66%
Passing-down PPA
#132 · +0.02
Yards / pass attempt
#132 · 5.7
Pass success rate
#131 · 33%
Passing PPA / play
#121 · +0.12

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Power success
#23 · 64%
Pass success rate
#46 · 39%
Rush success rate
#55 · 41%
Completion %
#65 · 62%
Pass explosiveness
#133 · 1.93
Takeaways / game
#132 · 0.54
Rush explosiveness
#131 · 1.17
Interceptions forced
#131 · 1.1%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsHouston Christian HuskiesW 31–3-22.5HCU 59%loss0.0
Sep 12W2at#4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish+44.5ND 96%
Sep 19W3vsWestern Michigan Broncos
Sep 26W4atFresno State Bulldogs
Oct 3W5vsUTSA Roadrunners
Oct 10W6atEast Carolina Pirates
Oct 17W7vsTulsa Golden Hurricane
Oct 24W8atFlorida Atlantic Owls
Nov 7W10atNorth Texas Mean Green
Nov 14W11vsTulane Green Wave
Nov 19W12atTemple Owls
Nov 28W13vsArmy Black Knights

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.