Penn State Nittany Lions
2026: 1-0 · Elo 1780 · #14 of 240 · 45.0 for, 0.0 against · ATS 1-0
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
- Winner calls
- 1/1
- Against the spread
- 0-1
- Avg CLV
- 0.00 pts
- SP+ (2026)
- +16.2
- SP+ (2025)
- +18.1
- Talent composite
- 774
- Returning production
- 8%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 43%
- Standard-down share
- 74%
- Plays / game
- 58
- Possession / game
- 29:30
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Turnovers / game
- #7 · 0.77
- Completion %
- #22 · 67%
- Rushing PPA / play
- #25 · +0.21
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #25 · 4.32
- Pass explosiveness
- #110 · 1.44
- Yards / pass attempt
- #67 · 7.2
- Passing PPA / play
- #53 · +0.28
- Passing-down PPA
- #52 · +0.35
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Pass explosiveness
- #26 · 1.46
- Pass success rate
- #36 · 38%
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #37 · 3.33
- Yards / pass attempt
- #38 · 6.5
- Takeaways / game
- #107 · 1.00
- Interceptions forced
- #95 · 1.9%
- Rush success rate
- #94 · 44%
- Third-down conversion
- #93 · 41%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | vs Marshall Thundering Herd | W 45–0 | -23.5 | PSU 79%✓ | loss | 0.0 |
| Sep 12W2 | at Temple Owls | — | -22.5 | PSU 80% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | vs Buffalo Bulls | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs Wisconsin Badgers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 2W5 | at Northwestern Wildcats | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | vs#14 USC Trojans | — | -1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | at #16 Michigan Wolverines | — | +6.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | vs Purdue Boilermakers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | at #17 Washington Huskies | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | vs Minnesota Golden Gophers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vsRutgers Scarlet Knights | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | at Maryland Terrapins | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.