Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Michigan Wolverines

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1688 · #28 of 240 · 13.0 for, 12.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: vs OU · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

16881500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
1-0
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+17.0
SP+ (2025)
+12.4
Talent composite
890
Returning production
69%

How they play

Pass rate
44%
Standard-down share
70%
Plays / game
62
Possession / game
29:47

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Stuff rate
#9 · 14%
Yards / rush
#11 · 5.5
Rush success rate
#13 · 49%
Havoc rate faced
#13 · 12.1%
Interception rate
#113 · 3.8%
Pass explosiveness
#106 · 1.46
Passing PPA / play
#95 · +0.20
Completion %
#94 · 59%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#3 · 1.34
Power success
#11 · 59%
Yards / rush
#19 · 3.4
Standard-down PPA
#20 · +0.00
Passing-down PPA
#114 · +0.40
Pass success rate
#105 · 44%
Completion %
#92 · 64%
Stuff rate forced
#85 · 18%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsWestern Michigan BroncosW 13–12-27.5MICH 77%win0.0
Sep 12W2vs#10 Oklahoma Sooners+4.5OU 54%
Sep 19W3vsUTEP Miners
Sep 26W4vs#22 Iowa Hawkeyes
Oct 3W5atMinnesota Golden Gophers
Oct 17W7vs#18 Penn State Nittany Lions-6.5
Oct 24W8vs#6 Indiana Hoosiers+6
Oct 31W9atRutgers Scarlet Knights
Nov 7W10vsMichigan State Spartans-16.5
Nov 14W11at#2 Oregon Ducks+13.5
Nov 21W12vsUCLA Bruins
Nov 28W13at#1 Ohio State Buckeyes+13.5

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.