Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Georgia Bulldogs

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1880 · #5 of 240 · 63.0 for, 3.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs WKU · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

18801500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
SP+ (2026)
+26.4
SP+ (2025)
+24.1
Talent composite
1004
Returning production
69%

How they play

Pass rate
44%
Standard-down share
71%
Plays / game
66
Possession / game
33:41

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Points / scoring opportunity
#7 · 4.79
Completion %
#10 · 69%
Pass success rate
#17 · 48%
Standard-down PPA
#20 · +0.22
Pass explosiveness
#125 · 1.39
Stuff rate
#93 · 20%
Rush explosiveness
#85 · 0.92
Yards / rush
#66 · 4.4

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Rush explosiveness
#1 · 0.74
Yards / rush
#8 · 3.0
Rushing PPA / play
#12 · −0.01
Line yards / rush
#12 · 2.53
Interceptions forced
#119 · 1.5%
Takeaways / game
#108 · 0.93
Havoc rate
#79 · 15.1%
Points / scoring opportunity
#68 · 3.67
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsTennessee State TigersW 63–3-49.5UGA 91%loss
Sep 12W2vsWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers-35.5UGA 91%
Sep 19W3atArkansas Razorbacks
Sep 26W4vs#10 Oklahoma Sooners-10
Oct 3W5vsVanderbilt Commodores
Oct 10W6at#13 Alabama Crimson Tide-3
Oct 17W7vsAuburn Tigers-16.5
Oct 31W9vsFlorida Gators-12.5
Nov 7W10at#9 Ole Miss Rebels-4.5
Nov 14W11vs#25 Missouri Tigers
Nov 21W12atSouth Carolina Gamecocks
Nov 28W13vsGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.