Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Nebraska Cornhuskers

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1613 · #41 of 240 · 49.0 for, 21.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs BGSU · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

16131500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
+9.3
SP+ (2025)
+6.2
Talent composite
787
Returning production
46%

How they play

Pass rate
49%
Standard-down share
75%
Plays / game
56
Possession / game
30:35

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Completion %
#11 · 69%
Turnovers / game
#13 · 0.85
Stuff rate
#19 · 15%
Rush success rate
#22 · 48%
Pass explosiveness
#127 · 1.39
Rush explosiveness
#125 · 0.81
Standard-down PPA
#87 · +0.08
Passing PPA / play
#81 · +0.22

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#25 · 1.46
Yards / pass attempt
#26 · 6.4
Completion %
#26 · 58%
Pass success rate
#38 · 39%
Rushing PPA / play
#131 · +0.25
Points / scoring opportunity
#127 · 4.37
Rush explosiveness
#127 · 1.12
Passing-down PPA
#126 · +0.44
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsOhio BobcatsW 49–21-23.5NEB 70%
Sep 12W2vsBowling Green Falcons-10.5NEB 89%
Sep 19W3vsNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks
Sep 26W4atMichigan State Spartans
Oct 3W5vsMaryland Terrapins
Oct 10W6vs#6 Indiana Hoosiers
Oct 17W7at#2 Oregon Ducks+21.5
Oct 31W9vs#17 Washington Huskies
Nov 6W10atIllinois Fighting Illini
Nov 14W11atRutgers Scarlet Knights
Nov 21W12vs#1 Ohio State Buckeyes
Nov 27W13at#22 Iowa Hawkeyes

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.