Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Georgia State Panthers

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1275 · #227 of 240 · 59.0 for, 10.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: at KENN · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

12751500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
-29.3
SP+ (2025)
-24.5
Talent composite
574
Returning production
47%

How they play

Pass rate
56%
Standard-down share
67%
Plays / game
63
Possession / game
30:11

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Interception rate
#3 · 0.6%
Pass explosiveness
#58 · 1.57
Passing-down PPA
#60 · +0.32
Passing PPA / play
#71 · +0.24
Power success
#118 · 63%
Rush explosiveness
#112 · 0.87
Yards / pass attempt
#109 · 6.4
Standard-down PPA
#104 · +0.05

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Interceptions forced
#32 · 3.2%
Rush explosiveness
#75 · 0.97
Rush success rate
#103 · 45%
Completion %
#105 · 64%
Takeaways / game
#133 · 0.50
Third-down conversion
#132 · 47%
Passing-down PPA
#130 · +0.48
Points / scoring opportunity
#129 · 4.45
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 4W1vsNorth Carolina A&T AggiesW 59–10-28.5NCAT 74%
Sep 12W2atKennesaw State OwlsKENN 83%
Sep 19W3atUCF Knights
Sep 26W4vsNorthern Illinois Huskies
Oct 3W5vsOld Dominion Monarchs
Oct 17W7atJames Madison Dukes
Oct 24W8atArkansas State Red Wolves
Oct 31W9vsCoastal Carolina Chanticleers
Nov 7W10atAppalachian State Mountaineers
Nov 14W11vsGeorgia Southern Eagles
Nov 21W12atMarshall Thundering Herd
Nov 28W13vsLouisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.