Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Florida Gators

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1584 · #53 of 240 · 66.0 for, 21.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs CAM · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

15841500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
1.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+15.2
SP+ (2025)
+3.5
Talent composite
891
Returning production
69%

How they play

Pass rate
52%
Standard-down share
70%
Plays / game
56
Possession / game
29:47

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Line yards / rush
#18 · 3.26
Stuff rate
#22 · 15%
Rush success rate
#36 · 47%
Power success
#42 · 76%
Rush explosiveness
#129 · 0.80
Third-down conversion
#113 · 34%
Pass success rate
#111 · 38%
Passing PPA / play
#109 · +0.17

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Interceptions forced
#7 · 4.2%
Takeaways / game
#49 · 1.42
Line yards / rush
#50 · 2.79
Rush explosiveness
#51 · 0.93
Third-down conversion
#116 · 44%
Power success
#114 · 79%
Yards / pass attempt
#114 · 8.0
Pass success rate
#110 · 44%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsFlorida Atlantic OwlsW 66–21-25.5FLA 78%loss+1.0
Sep 12W2vsCampbell Fighting CamelsFLA 78%
Sep 19W3atAuburn Tigers-1.5
Sep 26W4vs#9 Ole Miss Rebels
Oct 3W5at#25 Missouri Tigers
Oct 10W6vsSouth Carolina Gamecocks
Oct 17W7at#5 Texas Longhorns
Oct 31W9vs#3 Georgia Bulldogs+12.5
Nov 7W10vs#10 Oklahoma Sooners
Nov 14W11atKentucky Wildcats
Nov 21W12vsVanderbilt Commodores
Nov 27W13atFlorida State Seminoles-4.5

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.