Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Massachusetts Minutemen

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1114 · #239 of 240 · 37.0 for, 21.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs SHU · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

11141500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
-32.9
SP+ (2025)
-36.6
Talent composite
526
Returning production
-57%

How they play

Pass rate
54%
Standard-down share
62%
Plays / game
54
Possession / game
26:56

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Interception rate
#7 · 1.0%
Rush explosiveness
#12 · 1.12
Turnovers / game
#81 · 1.33
Passing-down PPA
#125 · +0.14
Points / scoring opportunity
#135 · 2.17
Standard-down PPA
#135 · −0.10
Stuff rate
#135 · 28%
Line yards / rush
#135 · 2.05

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Rush explosiveness
#13 · 0.84
Interceptions forced
#40 · 3.0%
Pass explosiveness
#102 · 1.62
Power success
#105 · 77%
Havoc rate
#135 · 8.5%
Stuff rate forced
#135 · 11%
Line yards / rush
#135 · 3.53
Points / scoring opportunity
#133 · 4.64
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 3W1atRutgers Scarlet KnightsW 37–21+29.5RUTG 97%
Sep 12W2vsSacred Heart PioneersSHU 83%
Sep 19W3vsStonehill Skyhawks
Sep 26W4atSacramento State Hornets
Oct 3W5vsEastern Michigan Eagles
Oct 10W6vsMiami (OH) RedHawks
Oct 17W7atBuffalo Bulls
Oct 23W8atUConn Huskies
Nov 4W10vsBall State Cardinals
Nov 11W11atToledo Rockets
Nov 18W12vsAkron Zips
Nov 28W13atBowling Green Falcons

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.