Probetrics — Sports Analytics

San José State Spartans

2026: 1-1 · Elo 1358 · #197 of 240 · 26.5 for, 31.5 against · ATS 2-0

Next: vs CP · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

13581500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

How they play

Pass rate
60%
Standard-down share
68%
Plays / game
64
Possession / game
27:48

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Interception rate
#21 · 1.4%
Rush success rate
#28 · 47%
Third-down conversion
#40 · 43%
Line yards / rush
#46 · 3.06
Turnovers / game
#134 · 2.25
Points / scoring opportunity
#129 · 2.77
Completion %
#123 · 56%
Pass explosiveness
#105 · 1.47

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Interceptions forced
#4 · 4.9%
Rush explosiveness
#36 · 0.90
Third-down conversion
#48 · 37%
Yards / rush
#58 · 4.1
Havoc rate
#128 · 12.1%
Yards / pass attempt
#128 · 8.6
Stuff rate forced
#127 · 14%
Pass explosiveness
#127 · 1.76
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Aug 29W1at#14 USC TrojansL 26–42+37.5USC 92%
Sep 4W1atEastern Michigan EaglesW 27–21+1.5EMU 63%
Sep 12W2vsCal Poly MustangsSJSU 50%
Sep 19W3vsFresno State Bulldogs
Oct 3W5atHawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Oct 9W6vsWyoming Cowboys
Oct 17W7atUTEP Miners
Oct 24W8atNevada Wolf Pack
Oct 31W9vsNew Mexico Lobos
Nov 7W10vsNorthern Illinois Huskies
Nov 14W11atAir Force Falcons
Nov 21W12vsUNLV Rebels
Nov 27W13vsNorth Dakota State Bison

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 2 played.