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Charleston Southern Buccaneers
0-1 · #208 Elo
at
Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 AM ET
Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Clemson Tigers
0-1 · #35 Elo
Spread —Total —Moneyline —
The read
On rating alone Clemson Tigers are 17.2 points better (#35 vs #208 of 240), and CLEM add 0.0 for home field.
Who has the edge
Rating
Clear edge
CLEM
CLEM rated 17.2 points better on Elo (#35 vs #208).
Home & rest
Even
—
CLEM gets 0.0 points for home field.
Passing game
not priced
—
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Rushing game
not priced
—
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Third down & red zone
not priced
—
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Form (last 5)
Clear edge
CHSO
CLEM −41.0 per game over the last five, CHSO −31.0.
context · not in the margin
Market
not priced
—
No line yet.
context · not in the margin
The margin, factor by factor
Charleston Southern BuccaneersClemson Tigers
1337 Elo · #208
RatingThe Elo gap in points — the model's core read on who is better, before the situational pieces below.
CLEM +17.2 pts
1646 Elo · #35
road
Home field
not priced
home
—
Rest
even
—
−21.3 pts vs CLEM D
Offense vs defenseEach offense's scoring rating against the other defense's — what drives the model total. Shown as an edge, though the winner call runs on Elo.
CLEM +28.5 pts
+7.2 pts vs CHSO D
L · −31.0
Form (last 5)Average margin over the last five games. Already inside the ratings — listed so you can see when recent form and the rating disagree.
CHSO +5.0 pts
L · −41.0
—
MarketThe consensus spread, read as points. Compare with the model margin above it.
not priced
—
Bars are in points toward the favored side. Blue factors are inside the model's margin; grey ones are context it does not add on top (form and offense/defense are already in the ratings; injuries beyond the quarterback are not priced).
Dissect the matchup
CollegeFootballData, garbage time excluded · 2025 season (last season until three games are in)Season
| CHSO | CLEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-1 |
| 0.0 | Points for / game | 10.0 |
| 31.0 | Points against / game | 51.0 |
| 0-0 / 0-1 | Home / road | 0-0 / 0-1 |
| 0-1 | Against the spread | 0-1 |
| 0-1 | Over / underOvers–unders in this team's games. A tendency, not a lean. | 1-0 |
| L | Last 5 | L |
Power ratings
| CHSO | CLEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 1337 | Elo | 1646 |
| #208 of 240 | Rank | #35 of 240 |
| −10.7 | Offense ratingPoints per game above league average scored, opponent-adjusted. | +4.3 |
| −2.8 | Defense ratingPoints per game below league average allowed, opponent-adjusted. Positive is good. | +10.6 |
| 1393 | Strength of scheduleMean Elo of opponents faced this season. | — |
Elo drives the winner call. Offense/defense ratings drive the total.
Head to head
| 2023 | CHSO 17 at CLEM 66 | CLEM · CHSO covered |
How the margin was built
- Rating gap
- CLEM +17.2 pts
- Home field
- CLEM +— pts
- Rest
- Even
- Weather / roof
- — pts on the total
- Model margin
- —
- Model total
- —
Market
- Spread
- —
- Total
- —
- Moneyline
- —
Per-book prices appear once the multi-book feed has this game (about a week out).
Informational only. Winner probabilities are backtested and calibrated; spread and total calls are tracked leans. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.