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Duquesne Dukes
0-1 · #223 Elo
at
Sat, Sep 19, 3:30 PM ET
Martin Stadium
Washington State Cougars
7-6 last yr · #60 Elo
Spread —Total —Moneyline —
The read
On rating alone Washington State Cougars are 14.9 points better (#60 vs #223 of 240), and WSU add 0.0 for home field.
Who has the edge
Rating
Clear edge
WSU
WSU rated 14.9 points better on Elo (#60 vs #223).
Home & rest
Even
—
WSU gets 0.0 points for home field.
Passing game
not priced
—
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Rushing game
not priced
—
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Third down & red zone
not priced
—
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Form (last 5)
Clear edge
WSU
WSU +11.0 per game over the last five, DUQ −34.0.
context · not in the margin
Market
not priced
—
No line yet.
context · not in the margin
The margin, factor by factor
Duquesne DukesWashington State Cougars
1292 Elo · #223
RatingThe Elo gap in points — the model's core read on who is better, before the situational pieces below.
WSU +14.9 pts
1560 Elo · #60
road
Home field
not priced
home
—
Rest
even
—
−20.6 pts vs WSU D
Offense vs defenseEach offense's scoring rating against the other defense's — what drives the model total. Shown as an edge, though the winner call runs on Elo.
WSU +32.5 pts
+11.8 pts vs DUQ D
L · −34.0
Form (last 5)Average margin over the last five games. Already inside the ratings — listed so you can see when recent form and the rating disagree.
WSU +22.5 pts
W W L W L · +11.0
—
MarketThe consensus spread, read as points. Compare with the model margin above it.
not priced
—
Bars are in points toward the favored side. Blue factors are inside the model's margin; grey ones are context it does not add on top (form and offense/defense are already in the ratings; injuries beyond the quarterback are not priced).
Dissect the matchup
CollegeFootballData, garbage time excluded · 2025 season (last season until three games are in)Season
| DUQ | WSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 7-6 |
| 0.0 | Points for / game | 22.5 |
| 34.0 | Points against / game | 20.2 |
| 0-0 / 0-1 | Home / road | 5-1 / 2-5 |
| 0-1 | Against the spread | 9-4 |
| 0-1 | Over / underOvers–unders in this team's games. A tendency, not a lean. | 4-9 |
| L | Last 5 | W W L W L |
Season numbers are from 2025 until this season has games.
Power ratings
| DUQ | WSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 1292 | Elo | 1560 |
| #223 of 240 | Rank | #60 of 240 |
| −11.3 | Offense ratingPoints per game above league average scored, opponent-adjusted. | +1.2 |
| −10.6 | Defense ratingPoints per game below league average allowed, opponent-adjusted. Positive is good. | +9.4 |
| 1445 | Strength of scheduleMean Elo of opponents faced this season. | — |
Elo drives the winner call. Offense/defense ratings drive the total.
Head to head
No meetings in our history.
How the margin was built
- Rating gap
- WSU +14.9 pts
- Home field
- WSU +— pts
- Rest
- Even
- Weather / roof
- — pts on the total
- Model margin
- —
- Model total
- —
Market
- Spread
- —
- Total
- —
- Moneyline
- —
Per-book prices appear once the multi-book feed has this game (about a week out).
Informational only. Winner probabilities are backtested and calibrated; spread and total calls are tracked leans. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.