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Alatengheili beat John Castaneda by decision at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos on Sep 26, 2026.
How the model's winner call for this game did, graded in public.
| Book | Castaneda | Alatengheili | Rounds | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | -345 DraftKings | +275 DraftKings | 2.5 | -360 | +260 |
| DraftKings | -345 | +275 | 2.5 | -360 | +260 |
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Bars start at zero; a full bar is the top 5% of the division. Tap a row for what it measures and the sample behind it.
Castaneda 1" taller · Castaneda +5" reach
Each cell is one way the fight ends, with the books' margin taken out; the map adds to 100%. The books price the round and the method separately, never a method in a given round. Tap a cell for its price.
The line is the map's chance the fight is still going (finishes read as spread evenly through a round). ◇ = a separate two-way price for the same thing: over 2.5 rounds 71% · goes the distance 69%.
Oldest to newest. Above the line: won; below: lost. Filled: ended early (K = KO/TKO, S = submission, then the round). Outline D: went to the judges. Tap a tile for the fight.
13 of 20 of their tracked fights went the distance. For this one, the books priced 66% that it goes the distance. History, not a forecast.
Fighter numbers are from tracked fights; odds are the books' own. Descriptive data, not a forecast. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.