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Randy Brown (20-8) faces Jacobe Smith (13-0) in a welterweight 3-round bout at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan on Oct 31, 2026.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
Bars start at zero; a full bar is the top 5% of the division. Tap a row for what it measures and the sample behind it.
Brown 5" taller · Brown +6" reach · Smith 6 years younger
| Book | Smith | Brown | Rounds | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | -265 FanDuel | +220 BetMGM | 1.5 | +110 | -120 |
| BetMGM | -275 | +220 | — | — | — |
| DraftKings | — | — | 1.5 | +110 | -140 |
| FanDuel | -265 | +200 | — | — | — |
| Hard Rock | -275 | +220 | 1.5 | -110 | -120 |
| Caesars | -270 | +220 | — | — | — |
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Each cell is one way the fight ends, with the books' margin taken out; the map adds to 100%. The books price the round and the method separately, never a method in a given round. Tap a cell for its price.
The line is the map's chance the fight is still going (finishes read as spread evenly through a round). ◇ = a separate two-way price for the same thing: over 1.5 rounds 47% · goes the distance 24%.
Oldest to newest. Above the line: won; below: lost. Filled: ended early (K = KO/TKO, S = submission, then the round). Outline D: went to the judges. Tap a tile for the fight.
8 of 20 of their tracked fights went the distance. For this one, the books price 22% that it goes the distance. History, not a forecast.
Fighter numbers are from tracked fights; odds are the books' own. Descriptive data, not a forecast. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.