NBA player prop trends
Where a player's own games in tonight's situations and the books' no-vig price disagree by more than luck usually explains, plus team trends for the day's games. History, not a pick.About this page
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BKN at CHATue 7:00 PM ET
| Measure | BKN20-62 · last 82 games | CHA44-38 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3rd quarter points for | 26.5#30 of 30 | 30.7#4 of 30 | 29.2 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.9#30 of 30 | 115.7#7 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −10.0#29 of 30 | +4.8#8 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Scoring margin | −10.0#28 of 30 | +4.8#8 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
NOP at OKCTue 8:00 PM ET
| Measure | NOP26-56 · last 82 games | OKC64-18 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points against | 31.0#4 of 30 | 26.6#30 of 30 | 29.4 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −7.6#23 of 30 | +11.5#1 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 115.6#8 of 30 | 105.1#30 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −4.3#21 of 30 | +10.9#1 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
DEN at UTATue 9:00 PM ET
| Measure | DEN54-28 · last 82 games | UTA22-60 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +4.7#6 of 30 | −5.2#26 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 119.6#1 of 30 | 111.3#21 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +5.0#7 of 30 | −8.0#27 of 30 | 0.0 |
| 1st half points against | 57.4#18 of 30 | 62.5#2 of 30 | 58.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
LAL at GSWTue 10:00 PM ET
| Measure | LAL53-29 · last 82 games | GSW37-45 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 51.4%#1 of 30 | 49.6%#24 of 30 | 50.3% |
| 1st quarter points for | 30.3#8 of 30 | 28.4#26 of 30 | 29.4 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 115.4#8 of 30 | 112.0#18 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +1.7#14 of 30 | −0.5#20 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
MIN at INDWed 7:00 PM ET
| Measure | MIN49-33 · last 82 games | IND19-63 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 121.2#2 of 30 | 113.8#26 of 30 | 115.6 |
| 2nd quarter points against | 27.7#23 of 30 | 30.9#3 of 30 | 28.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.5#23 of 30 | 116.0#5 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +3.2#10 of 30 | −7.7#26 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
ORL at MEMWed 8:00 PM ET
| Measure | ORL45-37 · last 82 games | MEM25-57 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4th quarter points against | 26.8#20 of 30 | 29.8#3 of 30 | 27.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 111.3#18 of 30 | 115.6#7 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −0.4#14 of 30 | −3.5#23 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +0.6#17 of 30 | −5.8#24 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
MIL at OKCWed 8:00 PM ET
| Measure | MIL32-50 · last 82 games | OKC64-18 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 116.5#4 of 30 | 105.1#30 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Points for | 110.6#29 of 30 | 119.0#5 of 30 | 115.6 |
| Scoring margin | −6.2#25 of 30 | +11.1#1 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −6.2#25 of 30 | +10.9#1 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
PHX at CHIWed 8:00 PM ET
| Measure | PHX45-37 · last 82 games | CHI31-51 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3rd quarter points against | 27.0#29 of 30 | 31.7#2 of 30 | 29.2 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 51.5%#4 of 30 | 48.6%#30 of 30 | 50.3% |
| Possessions per game | 100.5#23 of 30 | 105.2#3 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.6#22 of 30 | 115.5#9 of 30 | 112.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
GSW at PORWed 10:00 PM ET
| Measure | GSW37-45 · last 82 games | POR42-40 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.9%#28 of 30 | 51.6%#3 of 30 | 50.3% |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 49.6%#24 of 30 | 51.1%#6 of 30 | 50.3% |
| Possessions per game | 102.3#18 of 30 | 104.0#8 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 112.6#14 of 30 | 111.3#19 of 30 | 112.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
BOS at CLEThu 7:00 PM ET
| Measure | BOS56-26 · last 82 games | CLE52-30 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 51.5%#5 of 30 | 48.7%#29 of 30 | 50.3% |
| 4th quarter points against | 25.9#29 of 30 | 28.1#10 of 30 | 27.7 |
| Possessions per game | 98.0#30 of 30 | 103.0#14 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.4#27 of 30 | 112.1#16 of 30 | 112.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
NOP at MIAThu 7:30 PM ET
| Measure | NOP26-56 · last 82 games | MIA43-39 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 112.9#21 of 30 | 123.5#1 of 30 | 115.6 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −7.6#23 of 30 | +5.2#8 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Possessions per game | 103.8#10 of 30 | 106.2#1 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 115.6#8 of 30 | 111.6#17 of 30 | 112.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
PHI at BKNThu 7:30 PM ET
| Measure | PHI45-37 · last 82 games | BKN20-62 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points for | 60.2#5 of 30 | 53.1#30 of 30 | 58.2 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +0.8#13 of 30 | −6.7#28 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Possessions per game | 103.3#13 of 30 | 100.0#27 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 112.2#16 of 30 | 105.9#30 of 30 | 112.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
WAS at NYKThu 7:30 PM ET
| Measure | WAS17-65 · last 82 games | NYK53-29 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4th quarter points against | 29.9#2 of 30 | 25.3#30 of 30 | 27.7 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −13.1#29 of 30 | +10.0#3 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.1#29 of 30 | 116.7#3 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −11.5#30 of 30 | +6.3#5 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
ATL at SASThu 8:00 PM ET
| Measure | ATL46-36 · last 82 games | SAS62-20 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 58.7#15 of 30 | 55.6#27 of 30 | 58.2 |
| Possessions per game | 104.6#5 of 30 | 102.8#16 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Scoring margin | +2.4#12 of 30 | +8.3#2 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 113.3#14 of 30 | 116.6#4 of 30 | 112.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
SAC at LALThu 10:30 PM ET
| Measure | SAC22-60 · last 82 games | LAL53-29 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points for | 28.4#27 of 30 | 30.3#8 of 30 | 29.4 |
| 4th quarter points against | 28.7#7 of 30 | 26.5#25 of 30 | 27.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.6#26 of 30 | 115.4#8 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −9.8#28 of 30 | +1.7#14 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
HOU at DALFri 8:00 AM ET
| Measure | HOU52-30 · last 82 games | DAL26-56 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points against | 27.2#29 of 30 | 31.8#3 of 30 | 29.4 |
| Possessions per game | 100.1#26 of 30 | 105.1#4 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 115.1#9 of 30 | 108.6#27 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Scoring margin | +5.2#6 of 30 | −5.5#23 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
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How a trend makes the list
- 1For every posted prop priced on both sides, the player's own games are split by the situations tonight really has: recent form, this season, home or road, this opponent, rest and so on (each sport's insights page lists them).
- 2Each split is compared with the books' no-vig chance of the same side, not with 50%. Only props the books price between 20% and 80% are tested.
- 3A split makes the list only if, from at least 5 games, the 99% range for the player's true rate does not include that chance. A situation that covers 90% or more of his games is his whole history under another name and is not tested.
- 4Splits are ranked by the gap after pulling his rate toward the price, with one card a prop (its strongest split; a second split on the same side is a line under it) and at most three a player. Read it as a place to look: the books may know about a role change, an injury or a matchup the history does not, and some of the list is luck by construction.
Soccer has no player prop insights: its props (anytime goal, anytime assist, shots on target) are yes-only, so there is no number and no under, and no two-way price to compare a player's history with. UFC has none either: it has fight lines, not player props. Both sports still have their own game pages and boards.
Player props across every sport →NBA prop insights, with the full method →Line shopping →
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Questions and answers
- What are player prop trends?
- Spots where a player's own games, in the situations tonight's game really has, sit far from the sportsbooks' own price for the same prop. They are history set against the market, shown with the sample size, a 90% range and the books' no-vig chance. They are not picks and no record of them is kept.
- How does a trend make the list?
- Every split of a player's games (home or road, this opponent, rest and so on) is compared with the books' no-vig chance of the same side. It stays only if, from at least 5 games, the 99% range for his true rate does not include that chance. The list is then ranked by the gap, with one card a prop (its strongest split; a second split on the same side is a line under it) and at most three a player.
- What is free and what is Pro here?
- Every sport's top-ranked trend and every team trend are free. The rest of each sport's list is part of Pro. The props boards, the player pages and the team trends stay free.
- Are there trends for soccer or UFC?
- Soccer has no player prop insights: its props (anytime goal, anytime assist, shots on target) are yes-only, so there is no number and no under, and no two-way price to compare a player's history with. UFC has none either: it has fight lines, not player props. Both sports still have their own game pages and boards.
Lines come from regulated US sportsbooks and can lag what a book shows right now. Each game is measured against tonight's line, not the number that game actually had. Trends describe past games, none of them is a recommendation, and no record of them is kept. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.