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⌘K
No winner call was locked for Wellington Turman vs Islam Dulatov before the fight.
The model's numbers here are recomputed from today's data; the pick locked before the fight is at the top.
The model's chance of each ending. The books haven't posted method or round prices for this bout yet, so there is nothing to set beside it. Tap a cell for its fair price.
The model's chance the fight is still going.
Oldest to newest. Above the line: won; below: lost. Filled: ended early (K = KO/TKO, S = submission, then the round). Outline D: went to the judges. Tap a tile for the fight.
5 of 20 of their tracked fights went the distance. For this one, the model gave 30% that it goes the distance. History, not a forecast.
No price is posted for this fight, so the win chance is the model's own: Dulatov clear at 86%. On the feet, Dulatov sets the tempo — 5.6 significant strikes a minute to 3.4 — so Turman needs moments, not volume. Dulatov is most dangerous early — 11 of 12 tracked wins ended in the first round. Dulatov's most likely path is by KO/TKO (54%), and the fight goes the distance 30% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.
Where a bout is priced, the win chance is the sportsbooks' no-vig price. The model's own read (recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup) was tested on fights it was not tuned on and decides bouts nobody has priced. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.
Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
