Grizzlies at Warriors: NBA, Oct 23, 2026

Model pick: Warriors (60%), locked Oct 23; Grizzlies won 111–108 (graded a miss).

Memphis Grizzlies

Golden State Warriors

111–108

Final

Win probability

MEM 40%

60% GSW

Memphis Grizzlies won, 111–108. The pick was Golden State Warriors at 60% — incorrect.

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Margin the probability implies

GSW by 2.6

GSW win probability

60%

Right at this confidence

9 of 13

Too early to read: 13 graded at 60–70%

Winner picks only. Where books price a game, the win probability follows the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model works →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.