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The Warriors (37-45 in 2025–26) host the Grizzlies (25-57 in 2025–26) on Oct 23, 2026, 10:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
MEM offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · GSW defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
GSW offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MEM defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MEMGSW
Expected pace: about 103 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
MEMGSWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Stephen Curry's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Okani | 36.2 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| Rayan Rupert | 34.3 | 14.7 | 7.8 | 4.0 |
| Lucas Williamson | 32.0 | 10.4 | 5.4 | 2.6 |
| Jahmai Mashack | 31.9 | 10.4 | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| Dariq Whitehead | 30.5 | 16.3 | 4.0 | 1.5 |
| Adama Bal | 30.1 | 10.4 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Tyler Burton | 25.4 | 12.7 | 4.0 | 1.1 |
| GG Jackson | 25.1 | 18.0 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski | 29.7 | 17.4 | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| Gui Santos | 29.4 | 15.3 | 4.8 | 3.5 |
| Draymond Green | 29.0 | 7.6 | 5.4 | 6.4 |
| Stephen Curry | 26.8 | 20.3 | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | 25.0 | 16.7 | 6.0 | 2.3 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 24.2 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Pat Spencer | 23.0 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Gary Payton II | 21.5 | 12.1 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
MEM offenseper gameGSW defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
MEM offense vs GSW defenseGSW offense vs MEM defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
MEMForAgainst49% of MEM's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
GSWForAgainst49% of GSW's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MEM 1series9 GSW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | GSW 133 | MEM 112 | GSW+21 | +21 |
| Feb 9, 2026 | MEM 113 | GSW 114 | GSW+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2025 | MEM 118 | GSW 131 | GSW+13 | +13 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | MEM 116 | GSW 121 | GSW+5 | +5 |
| Apr 1, 2025 | GSW 134 | MEM 125 | GSW+9 | +9 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MEM 113 | GSW 121 | GSW+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | GSW 93 | MEM 144 | MEM+51 | +51 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | MEM 118 | GSW 123 | GSW+5 | +5 |
| Mar 20, 2024 | MEM 116 | GSW 137 | GSW+21 | +21 |
| Feb 2, 2024 | GSW 121 | MEM 101 | GSW+20 | +20 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MEM25-57 · last 82 games | GSW37-45 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 50.6%#11 of 30 | 48.9%#28 of 30 | 50.3% |
| 2nd quarter points against | 30.0#6 of 30 | 28.4#19 of 30 | 28.8 |
| Possessions per game | 104.4#7 of 30 | 102.3#18 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 109.9#25 of 30 | 112.0#18 of 30 | 112.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.