Pelicans at Jazz: NBA, Oct 23, 2026

Model pick: Jazz (51%), locked Oct 23; Jazz won 120–119 (graded a hit).

New Orleans Pelicans

Utah Jazz

119–120

Final

Win probability

NOP 49%

51% UTA

Utah Jazz won, 120–119. The pick was Utah Jazz at 51% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

UTA by 0.2

UTA win probability

51%

Right at this confidence

13 of 23

Too early to read: 23 graded at 50–60%

Winner picks only. Where books price a game, the win probability follows the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model works →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.