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The Jazz (22-60 in 2025–26) host the Pelicans (26-56 in 2025–26) on Oct 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
NOP offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · UTA defense in 0
UTA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NOP defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NOPUTA
Expected pace: about 105 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
NOPUTANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Brice Sensabaugh's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III | 36.3 | 17.4 | 6.1 | 3.6 |
| Saddiq Bey | 32.9 | 19.3 | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| Zion Williamson | 30.3 | 19.2 | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| Dejounte Murray | 29.1 | 15.9 | 5.4 | 7.3 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 27.9 | 19.2 | 3.4 | 4.1 |
| Josh Oduro | 27.0 | 8.3 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| Herbert Jones | 26.7 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Derik Queen | 24.0 | 11.5 | 7.2 | 2.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andersson Garcia | 38.3 | 4.7 | 10.0 | 4.0 |
| Cody Williams | 34.1 | 17.4 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Bez Mbeng | 32.8 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| Elijah Harkless | 32.5 | 11.6 | 3.4 | 4.9 |
| Kennedy Chandler | 32.2 | 15.0 | 3.4 | 6.7 |
| Ace Bailey | 31.5 | 20.0 | 5.2 | 2.5 |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 29.4 | 23.5 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| John Konchar | 28.2 | 8.8 | 7.2 | 4.0 |
NOP offenseper gameUTA defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
NOP offense vs UTA defenseUTA offense vs NOP defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
NOPForAgainst49% of NOP's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
UTAForAgainst48% of UTA's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
NOP 8series2 UTA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | UTA 137 | NOP 156 | NOP+19 | +19 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NOP 115 | UTA 105 | NOP+10 | +10 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | NOP 129 | UTA 118 | NOP+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | NOP 128 | UTA 121 | NOP+7 | +7 |
| Jan 20, 2025 | UTA 119 | NOP 123 | NOP+4 | +4 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTA 123 | NOP 136 | NOP+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | UTA 124 | NOP 153 | NOP+29 | +29 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | UTA 105 | NOP 112 | NOP+7 | +7 |
| Nov 27, 2023 | NOP 112 | UTA 114 | UTA+2 | +2 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | NOP 100 | UTA 105 | UTA+5 | +5 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NOP26-56 · last 82 games | UTA22-60 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 112.9#21 of 30 | 121.2#2 of 30 | 115.6 |
| 3rd quarter points against | 29.3#16 of 30 | 32.7#1 of 30 | 29.2 |
| Possessions per game | 103.8#10 of 30 | 105.7#2 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 115.6#8 of 30 | 119.2#2 of 30 | 112.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.