Bucks at Wizards: NBA, Oct 21, 2026

Model pick: Wizards (60%), locked Oct 21; Wizards won 128–116 (graded a hit).

Milwaukee Bucks

Washington Wizards

116–128

Final

Win probability

MIL 40%

60% WAS

Washington Wizards won, 128–116. The pick was Washington Wizards at 60% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

WAS by 2.6

WAS win probability

60%

Right at this confidence

9 of 13

Too early to read: 13 graded at 60–70%

Winner picks only. Where books price a game, the win probability follows the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model works →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.