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ProbetricsProbetrics
Nathaniel Lowe
AVG
.252
HR
17
2026 games
123

Props this game

Total bases 0.5

CLE vs CWSMon, Oct 5, 5:00 PM ETvs Anthony KayTotal 6.5Wind 13 mph61°F
Fair overThe books' average chance of this side with the margin removed, and its break-even price. The market's view, not ours.
56%
-126 · 1 book · thin
Game by gameLine 0.5
Full breakdown

How often has he cleared it?

Nathaniel Lowe's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

Checking your player views…
  • the game-by-game chart
  • hit-rate splits and filters
  • the what-if line and market curve
  • every book and the line history

Pitch data

Full breakdown

Nathaniel Lowe's full breakdown holds heat maps, the spray chart and pitch-type matchups. Checking your player views…

Checking your player views…

Contact quality against KayWhere the batter and the starter rank across the league (percentiles) on contact quality, whiffs, walks and strikeouts this season.

Full breakdown

Nathaniel Lowe's full breakdown holds the pitcher-batter matchup. Checking your player views…

Checking your player views…

Where he ranksHis league percentile on each stat this season: 100 = best, and the color already accounts for direction.

Batting percentiles

2026 season, vs qualified batters
.335xwOBA83
41.4%Hard-hit%66
8.4%Barrel%62
89.6 mphAvg exit velo70
23.1%K%51
8.9%BB%55
22.0%Whiff%71

xwOBA: the value the contact deserved · Hard-hit: 95+ mph off the bat · Barrel: ideal speed and angle · Whiff: misses per swing · K%, BB%: per plate appearance.

Every book's priceEach book's line and price; best price in green. A book on a different line isn't comparable.

2 books
Full breakdown

Nathaniel Lowe's full breakdown holds every book's price. Checking your player views…

Checking your player views…

Lines move; the price shown may not be live. Heat maps, spray chart and pitch matchup use pitch-by-pitch tracking data from the last three regular seasons. Everything here is descriptive history, never a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.