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ProbetricsProbetrics
Ryan Vilade
AVG
.245
HR
11
2026 games
93

Props this game

Hits 0.5

TB at NYYWed, Oct 7, 8:00 PM ETvs Max FriedWind 6 mph58°F
Fair overThe books' average chance of this side with the margin removed, and its break-even price. The market's view, not ours.
52%
-110 · 2 books
Game by gameLine 0.5
Full breakdown

How often has he cleared it?

Ryan Vilade's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

Checking your player views…
  • the game-by-game chart
  • hit-rate splits and filters
  • the what-if line and market curve
  • every book and the line history

Pitch data

Full breakdown

Ryan Vilade's full breakdown holds heat maps, the spray chart and pitch-type matchups. Checking your player views…

Checking your player views…

Contact quality against FriedWhere the batter and the starter rank across the league (percentiles) on contact quality, whiffs, walks and strikeouts this season.

Full breakdown

Ryan Vilade's full breakdown holds the pitcher-batter matchup. Checking your player views…

Checking your player views…

Where he ranksHis league percentile on each stat this season: 100 = best, and the color already accounts for direction.

Batting percentiles

2026 season, vs qualified batters
.327xwOBA74
39.9%Hard-hit%59
7.1%Barrel%50
89.2 mphAvg exit velo61
23.4%K%49
9.4%BB%61
23.6%Whiff%61

xwOBA: the value the contact deserved · Hard-hit: 95+ mph off the bat · Barrel: ideal speed and angle · Whiff: misses per swing · K%, BB%: per plate appearance.

Every book's priceEach book's line and price; best price in green. A book on a different line isn't comparable.

2 books
Full breakdown

Ryan Vilade's full breakdown holds every book's price. Checking your player views…

Checking your player views…

Lines move; the price shown may not be live. Heat maps, spray chart and pitch matchup use pitch-by-pitch tracking data from the last three regular seasons. Everything here is descriptive history, never a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.