Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Philadelphia Eagles

2026: 11-7 (last season) · Elo 1557 · #8 of 32 · 22.1 for, 19.3 against · ATS 10-8

Next: vs WSH · Sep 13

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

15571500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

How they play

Pass rate
57%
Early-down pass rate
52%
Neutral-script pass rate
55%
Pass rate over expected
−3.1%
Seconds per play
30.9
No-huddle
19%
Shotgun
77%
Play-action rate
22%
RPO rate
7%

Offense · best and worst (of 32)

Red-zone touchdown rate
#1 · 70%
Turnovers / game
#1 · 0.72
Interception rate
#3 · 1.3%
Completion % over expected
#7 · +2.3
YAC / completion
#31 · 4.3
Third-down conversion
#24 · 37%
Explosive pass rate
#22 · 7.2%
Yards / rush
#20 · 4.1

Defense · best and worst (of 32)

Completion % over expected
#1 · −5.5
Pass success rate
#5 · 42%
EPA / rush
#6 · −0.10
EPA / dropback
#9 · −0.05
Third-down conversion
#22 · 42%
Rush success rate
#20 · 42%
YAC / completion
#20 · 5.3
Explosive rush rate
#18 · 9.9%

Philadelphia Eagles · key players

  • Jalen Hurts QB18.5/28.8 · 200 yds/g · 26-6 TD-INT · +0.06 EPA/db
  • A.J. Brown WR8.0 tgt/g · 28% share · 64 yds/g · 7 TD · aDOT 12.2
  • DeVonta Smith WR6.9 tgt/g · 25% share · 60 yds/g · 4 TD · aDOT 11.2
  • Dallas Goedert TE5.6 tgt/g · 21% share · 39 yds/g · 12 TD · aDOT 7.5
  • Jahan Dotson WR2.5 tgt/g · 9% share · 17 yds/g · 1 TD · aDOT 15.6
  • Saquon Barkley RB18.0 car/g · 73 yds/g · 4.1 ypc · 7 TD · −0.09 EPA/car
  • Tank Bigsby RB5.6 car/g · 33 yds/g · 5.9 ypc · 2 TD · +0.13 EPA/car

2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.

2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 13W1vsWashington Commanders-5PHI 68%
Sep 20W2atTennessee Titans-4.5
Sep 28W3atChicago Bears+1.5
Oct 4W4vsLos Angeles Rams+1.5
Oct 11W5atJacksonville Jaguars-1.5
Oct 18W6vsCarolina Panthers-6.5
Oct 26W7vsDallas Cowboys
Nov 1W8atWashington Commanders
Nov 8W9vsNew York Giants
Nov 22W11vsPittsburgh Steelers
Nov 26W12atDallas Cowboys+1.5
Dec 6W13atArizona Cardinals
Dec 13W14vsIndianapolis Colts
Dec 19W15vsSeattle Seahawks
Dec 24W16vsHouston Texans-2.5
Jan 3W17atSan Francisco 49ers
Jan 10W18atNew York Giants

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.