Probetrics — Sports Analytics

New York Giants

2026: 4-13 (last season) · Elo 1422 · #28 of 32 · 22.4 for, 25.8 against · ATS 9-8

Next: vs DAL · Sep 13

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

14221500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

How they play

Pass rate
58%
Early-down pass rate
51%
Neutral-script pass rate
49%
Pass rate over expected
−4.7%
Seconds per play
29.2
No-huddle
21%
Shotgun
77%
Play-action rate
23%
RPO rate
12%

Offense · best and worst (of 32)

YAC / completion
#9 · 5.5
Explosive pass rate
#10 · 8.8%
EPA / rush
#10 · −0.03
Turnovers / game
#10 · 0.94
Red-zone touchdown rate
#28 · 47%
Pass success rate
#26 · 43%
Sack rate
#23 · 7.7%
Yards / rush
#22 · 4.0

Defense · best and worst (of 32)

YAC / completion
#11 · 4.9
Third-down conversion
#15 · 40%
EPA / dropback
#17 · +0.06
Pass success rate
#17 · 46%
Yards / rush
#32 · 5.4
Explosive rush rate
#32 · 16.0%
EPA / rush
#32 · +0.13
Rush success rate
#31 · 48%

New York Giants · key players

  • Jaxson Dart QB15.4/24.2 · 162 yds/g · 15-5 TD-INT · +0.01 EPA/db
  • Wan'Dale Robinson WR8.8 tgt/g · 30% share · 63 yds/g · 4 TD · aDOT 8.5
  • Theo Johnson TEQuestionable4.9 tgt/g · 17% share · 35 yds/g · 5 TD · aDOT 8.3
  • Darius Slayton WR4.5 tgt/g · 15% share · 38 yds/g · 1 TD · aDOT 13.4
  • Malik Nabers WRQuestionable8.8 tgt/g · 27% share · 68 yds/g · 2 TD · aDOT 15.9
  • Tyrone Tracy Jr. RBQuestionable11.7 car/g · 49 yds/g · 4.2 ypc · 2 TD · −0.06 EPA/car
  • Devin Singletary RB7.0 car/g · 26 yds/g · 3.7 ypc · 5 TD · −0.02 EPA/car

2025 season, per game. Targets ranked by volume, rushers by carries.nflverse weekly player stats. Target share is the player's average share of his team's targets in the games he played. A player who changed teams carries his own games from last season.

2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 13W1vsDallas Cowboys+3NYG 54%
Sep 21W2atLos Angeles Rams+8.5
Sep 27W3vsTennessee Titans-3
Oct 4W4vsArizona Cardinals-7
Oct 11W5atWashington Commanders+1.5
Oct 18W6vsNew Orleans Saints-2.5
Oct 25W7atHouston Texans+5.5
Nov 8W9atPhiladelphia Eagles
Nov 12W10vsWashington Commanders
Nov 22W11vsJacksonville Jaguars
Nov 29W12atIndianapolis Colts
Dec 6W13vsSan Francisco 49ers
Dec 13W14atSeattle Seahawks
Dec 20W15vsCleveland Browns
Dec 28W16atDetroit Lions
Jan 3W17atDallas Cowboys
Jan 10W18vsPhiladelphia Eagles

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 0 played.