RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Ronald Torbert
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Roof closed · wind, cold and rain are out of playNRG Stadium · TurfStadium scoring factor 100 (15th of 32, 100 = league average) · 45.7 points a game in 91 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Indianapolis Colts · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:IND scores 53% · allows 51%HOU scores 53% · allows 49%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
INDHOUsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
IND8 games
Scored13.5
Allowed11.4
Pass share47%
40–53% · 201 plays
HOU10 games
Scored9.8
Allowed12.3
Pass share45%
39–51% · 278 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
IND3 games
Scored11.7
Allowed14.3
Pass share44%
26–62% · 88 plays
HOU3 games
Scored16.3
Allowed7.3
Pass share56%
48–65% · 94 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
IND6 games
Scored10.8
Allowed12.8
Pass share63%
55–71% · 174 plays
HOU4 games
Scored11.3
Allowed8.8
Pass share72%
65–78% · 134 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
INDat the half: led 8 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 6 (of 17)
6.0
5.3Q1
7.9
7.8Q2
13.9scored13.1allowedleague 11.4
1st half
5.9
4.4Q3
5.8
7.5Q4
HOUat the half: led 10 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 4 (of 17)
4.8
2.8Q1
7.8
7.2Q2
12.6scored10.0allowedleague 11.4
1st half
3.4
5.6Q3
7.9
5.0Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
INDHOU
13-6
Record
9-7
27.1
Points for / game
23.3
23.0
Points against / game
19.2
7-2 / 6-4
Home / road
5-3 / 4-4
L W W W L
Last 5
W W L W W
2014 season only (not a rolling window) · 16–19 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
INDHOU
0.012
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
-0.013
-0.037
EPA / play allowed
-0.113
307
Pass yards / game
216
100
Rush yards / game
135
238
Pass yards allowed
259
115
Rush yards allowed
105
1.6 / 1.9
Turnovers / takeaways
1.3 / 2.3
1.6 / 2.4
Sacks allowed / made
1.6 / 2.4
20.3
First downs / game
17.4
53
Penalty yards / game
52
+4.6 · #12 of 45
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+4.9 · #7 of 45
2014 season to date · 16–19 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
INDHOU
6-6 · 50%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
2-16 · 11%
Last two seasons (2013–2014), IND 37 games, HOU 32. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
17INDseriesHOU12
Avg total points
43.8
Meetings
30
Division rivals — they meet twice every season.
2026HOU 17 at IND 19IND
2025IND 30 at HOU 38HOU
2025HOU 20 at IND 16HOU
2024IND 20 at HOU 23HOU
2024HOU 29 at IND 27HOU
2023HOU 23 at IND 19HOU
2023IND 31 at HOU 20IND
2022HOU 32 at IND 31HOU
All 30 meetings
2022IND 20 at HOU 20Tie
2021IND 31 at HOU 0IND
2021HOU 3 at IND 31IND
2020HOU 20 at IND 27IND
2020IND 26 at HOU 20IND
2019IND 17 at HOU 20HOU
2019HOU 23 at IND 30IND
2018IND 21 at HOU 7PlayoffsIND
2018IND 24 at HOU 21IND
2018HOU 37 at IND 34HOU
2017HOU 13 at IND 22IND
2017IND 20 at HOU 14IND
2016HOU 22 at IND 17HOU
2016IND 23 at HOU 26HOU
2015HOU 16 at IND 10HOU
2015IND 27 at HOU 20IND
2014HOU 10 at IND 17IND
2014IND 33 at HOU 28IND
2013HOU 3 at IND 25IND
2013IND 27 at HOU 24IND
2012HOU 16 at IND 28IND
2012IND 17 at HOU 29HOU
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
T.Y. HiltonWR15920.9%
Reggie WayneWR12115.9%
Coby FleenerTE10413.6%
Hakeem NicksWR7610.0%
Dwayne AllenTE638.3%
Donte MoncriefWR618.0%
Dan HerronRB496.4%
Ahmad BradshawRB476.2%
Trent RichardsonRB344.5%
Jack DoyleTE314.1%
Zurlon TiptonRB131.7%
Griff WhalenWR30.4%
Josh CribbsWR10.1%
Andre JohnsonWR14730.8%
DeAndre HopkinsWR12726.6%
Arian FosterRB5912.4%
Damaris JohnsonWR4910.3%
Garrett GrahamTE285.9%
Alfred BlueRB183.8%
Ryan GriffinTE163.4%
Keshawn MartinWR122.5%
Jonathan GrimesRB81.7%
C.J. FiedorowiczTE71.5%
Jay ProschFB40.8%
Ronnie BrownRB10.2%
DeVier PoseyWR10.2%
Indianapolis Colts2024–25 seasons
Houston Texans2024–25 seasons
