RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Walt Coleman
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Roof closed · wind, cold and rain are out of playLucas Oil Stadium · TurfStadium scoring factor 104 (7th of 32, 100 = league average) · 47.3 points a game in 84 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Tennessee Titans · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:TEN scores 46% · allows 58%IND scores 53% · allows 51%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
TENINDsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
TEN1 game · small sample
Scored6.0
Allowed24.0
Pass share69%
36 plays · too few games for a range
IND8 games
Scored13.5
Allowed11.4
Pass share47%
40–53% · 201 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
TEN4 games
Scored11.8
Allowed9.5
Pass share50%
38–62% · 118 plays
IND3 games
Scored11.7
Allowed14.3
Pass share44%
26–62% · 88 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
TEN12 games
Scored8.6
Allowed10.2
Pass share68%
62–74% · 350 plays
IND6 games
Scored10.8
Allowed12.8
Pass share63%
55–71% · 174 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
TENat the half: led 1 · within 3 in 4 · trailed 12 (of 17)
4.9
5.1Q1
2.9
10.0Q2
7.8scored15.1allowedleague 11.4
1st half
2.8
6.6Q3
6.4
4.2Q4
INDat the half: led 8 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 6 (of 17)
6.0
5.3Q1
7.9
7.8Q2
13.9scored13.1allowedleague 11.4
1st half
5.9
4.4Q3
5.8
7.5Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
TENIND
7-9
Record
12-6
22.6
Points for / game
25.4
23.8
Points against / game
23.5
3-5 / 4-4
Home / road
7-2 / 5-4
W W L L L
Last 5
L W W W W
2013 season only (not a rolling window) · 16–18 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
TENIND
0.022
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
0.029
0.013
EPA / play allowed
0.037
232
Pass yards / game
263
118
Rush yards / game
106
240
Pass yards allowed
252
112
Rush yards allowed
133
1.2 / 1.7
Turnovers / takeaways
1.1 / 2.0
2.3 / 2.3
Sacks allowed / made
2.0 / 2.6
17.2
First downs / game
17.9
56
Penalty yards / game
35
+4.1 · #12 of 46
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+3.7 · #15 of 46
2013 season to date · 16–18 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
TENIND
5-16 · 24%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
11-8 · 58%
Last two seasons (2012–2013), TEN 32 games, IND 35. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
8TENseriesIND20
Avg total points
49.4
Meetings
28
Division rivals — they meet twice every season. IND have won the last 6.
2025TEN 14 at IND 38IND
2025IND 41 at TEN 20IND
2024TEN 30 at IND 38IND
2024IND 20 at TEN 17IND
2023IND 31 at TEN 28IND
2023TEN 16 at IND 23IND
2022IND 10 at TEN 19TEN
2022TEN 24 at IND 17TEN
All 28 meetings
2021TEN 34 at IND 31TEN
2021IND 16 at TEN 25TEN
2020TEN 45 at IND 26TEN
2020IND 34 at TEN 17IND
2019TEN 31 at IND 17TEN
2019IND 19 at TEN 17IND
2018IND 33 at TEN 17IND
2018TEN 10 at IND 38IND
2017TEN 20 at IND 16TEN
2017IND 22 at TEN 36TEN
2016TEN 17 at IND 24IND
2016IND 34 at TEN 26IND
2015TEN 24 at IND 30IND
2015IND 35 at TEN 33IND
2014IND 27 at TEN 10IND
2014TEN 17 at IND 41IND
2013TEN 14 at IND 22IND
2013IND 30 at TEN 27IND
2012TEN 23 at IND 27IND
2012IND 19 at TEN 13IND
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Kendall WrightWR14026.6%
Nate WashingtonWR10419.8%
Delanie WalkerTE8616.3%
Chris JohnsonRB529.9%
Justin HunterWR428.0%
Kenny BrittWR356.7%
Damian WilliamsWR234.4%
Shonn GreeneRB71.3%
Taylor ThompsonTE71.3%
Michael PrestonWR71.3%
Collin MooneyRB61.1%
Craig StevensTE61.1%
Jackie BattleRB51.0%
Darius ReynaudRB20.4%
Visanthe ShiancoeTE20.4%
Ryan FitzpatrickQB10.2%
Quinn JohnsonFB10.2%
T.Y. HiltonWR16224.5%
Coby FleenerTE10515.9%
Darrius Heyward-BeyWR649.7%
Reggie WayneWR588.8%
Griff WhalenWR538.0%
Donald BrownRB426.3%
Trent RichardsonRB416.2%
LaVon BrazillWR406.0%
Da'Rick RogersWR294.4%
Stanley HaviliFB243.6%
Weslye SaundersTE111.7%
Jack DoyleTE91.4%
Ahmad BradshawRB81.2%
David ReedWR30.5%
Dominique JonesTE30.5%
Dwayne AllenTE20.3%
Vick BallardRB20.3%
Robert HughesRB20.3%
Dan HerronRB10.2%
Tashard ChoiceRB10.2%
Chris RaineyRB10.2%
Justice CunninghamTE10.2%
Tennessee Titans2024–25 seasons
Indianapolis Colts2024–25 seasons
