RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Scott Green
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playMall of America Field · TurfStadium scoring factor 98 (21th of 32, 100 = league average) · 44.8 points a game in 85 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Green Bay Packers · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
2013 season
Jordy Nelson · 135 (23.3%)James Jones · 98 (16.9%)Jarrett Boykin · 84 (14.5%)Andrew Quarless · 54 (9.3%)Randall Cobb · 49 (8.5%)Eddie Lacy · 47 (8.1%)Jermichael Finley · 34 (5.9%)John Kuhn · 21 (3.6%)James Starks · 15 (2.6%)Brandon Bostick · 14 (2.4%)Myles White · 12 (2.1%)Ryan Taylor · 9 (1.6%)Johnathan Franklin · 5 (0.9%)Jeremy Ross · 2 (0.3%)
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:GB scores 48% · allows 43%MIN scores 48% · allows 55%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
GBMINsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
GB5 games
Scored9.2
Allowed19.4
Pass share50%
31–70% · 157 plays
MIN4 games
Scored8.0
Allowed4.8
Pass share51%
43–60% · 113 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
GB7 games
Scored10.3
Allowed10.4
Pass share60%
54–65% · 196 plays
MIN7 games
Scored10.3
Allowed7.1
Pass share49%
36–62% · 191 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
GB5 games
Scored13.8
Allowed10.8
Pass share57%
38–75% · 161 plays
MIN6 games
Scored11.0
Allowed11.3
Pass share60%
52–68% · 139 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
GBat the half: led 5 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 5 (of 17)
2.9
2.3Q1
7.2
7.7Q2
10.2scored10.0allowedleague 11.4
1st half
5.5
4.5Q3
5.3
8.3Q4
MINat the half: led 4 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 6 (of 17)
4.9
3.8Q1
4.4
6.1Q2
9.3scored9.8allowedleague 11.4
1st half
3.9
4.2Q3
6.1
3.9Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
GBMIN
8-8-1
Record
5-10-1
25.7
Points for / game
24.4
26.5
Points against / game
30.0
4-4 / 4-4
Home / road
5-3 / 0-7
L W L W W
Last 5
W L W L W
2013 season only (not a rolling window) · 16–17 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
GBMIN
0.056
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
-0.038
0.094
EPA / play allowed
0.077
277
Pass yards / game
228
133
Rush yards / game
130
260
Pass yards allowed
304
127
Rush yards allowed
110
1.2 / 1.7
Turnovers / takeaways
1.6 / 1.5
2.9 / 2.8
Sacks allowed / made
2.8 / 2.6
19.8
First downs / game
17.4
48
Penalty yards / game
43
+10.7 · #3 of 46
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
−1.7 · #30 of 46
2013 season to date · 16–17 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
GBMIN
2-8 · 20%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
11-12-1 · 48%
Last two seasons (2012–2013), GB 35 games, MIN 33. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
14GBseriesMIN14
Avg total points
46.0
Meetings
30
Division rivals — they meet twice every season. MIN have won the last 2.
2026GB 22 at MIN 39MIN
2025GB 3 at MIN 16MIN
2025MIN 6 at GB 23GB
2024GB 25 at MIN 27MIN
2024MIN 31 at GB 29MIN
2023GB 33 at MIN 10GB
2023MIN 24 at GB 10MIN
2022MIN 17 at GB 41GB
All 30 meetings
2022GB 7 at MIN 23MIN
2021MIN 10 at GB 37GB
2021GB 31 at MIN 34MIN
2020MIN 28 at GB 22MIN
2020GB 43 at MIN 34GB
2019GB 23 at MIN 10GB
2019MIN 16 at GB 21GB
2018GB 17 at MIN 24MIN
2018MIN 29 at GB 29Tie
2017MIN 16 at GB 0MIN
2017GB 10 at MIN 23MIN
2016MIN 25 at GB 38GB
2016GB 14 at MIN 17MIN
2015MIN 20 at GB 13MIN
2015GB 30 at MIN 13GB
2014GB 24 at MIN 21GB
2014MIN 10 at GB 42GB
2013MIN 26 at GB 26Tie
2013GB 44 at MIN 31GB
2012MIN 10 at GB 24PlayoffsGB
2012GB 34 at MIN 37MIN
2012MIN 14 at GB 23GB
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jordy NelsonWR13523.3%
James JonesWR9816.9%
Jarrett BoykinWR8414.5%
Andrew QuarlessTE549.3%
Randall CobbWR498.5%
Eddie LacyRB478.1%
Jermichael FinleyTE345.9%
John KuhnFB213.6%
James StarksRB152.6%
Brandon BostickTE142.4%
Myles WhiteWR122.1%
Ryan TaylorTE91.6%
Johnathan FranklinRB50.9%
Jeremy RossWR20.3%
Greg JenningsWR10519.7%
Jerome SimpsonWR10018.7%
Cordarrelle PattersonRB7714.4%
John CarlsonTE478.8%
Kyle RudolphTE468.6%
Jarius WrightWR438.1%
Adrian PetersonRB407.5%
Toby GerhartRB193.6%
Chase FordTE163.0%
Joe WebbQB112.1%
Rhett EllisonTE101.9%
Jerome FeltonFB81.5%
Matt AsiataRB81.5%
Zach LineFB30.6%
Joe BanyardRB10.2%
Green Bay Packers2024–25 seasons
Minnesota Vikings2024–25 seasons
