Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Northwestern Wildcats

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1604 · #44 of 240 · 34.0 for, 18.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs COLO · Sep 19

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

16041500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
0-1
Avg CLV
-1.50 pts
SP+ (2026)
+5.1
SP+ (2025)
+5.8
Talent composite
688
Returning production
89%

How they play

Pass rate
47%
Standard-down share
70%
Plays / game
61
Possession / game
32:19

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Third-down conversion
#37 · 43%
Power success
#41 · 76%
Yards / rush
#45 · 4.7
Rush success rate
#46 · 46%
Points / scoring opportunity
#115 · 3.21
Turnovers / game
#110 · 1.62
Yards / pass attempt
#110 · 6.4
Completion %
#96 · 59%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#6 · 1.36
Interceptions forced
#14 · 3.7%
Takeaways / game
#36 · 1.54
Points / scoring opportunity
#41 · 3.37
Rush success rate
#118 · 47%
Stuff rate forced
#117 · 15%
Line yards / rush
#112 · 3.16
Rushing PPA / play
#107 · +0.18
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsSouth Dakota State JackrabbitsW 34–18-14NU 68%loss-1.5
Sep 19W3vsColorado Buffaloes
Sep 25W4at#6 Indiana Hoosiers
Oct 2W5vs#18 Penn State Nittany Lions
Oct 10W6vsBall State Cardinals
Oct 17W7atMichigan State Spartans
Oct 24W8vsRutgers Scarlet Knights
Oct 31W9at#2 Oregon Ducks
Nov 7W10vs#22 Iowa Hawkeyes
Nov 14W11at#1 Ohio State Buckeyes
Nov 21W12atMinnesota Golden Gophers
Nov 28W13vsIllinois Fighting Illini+3.5

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.