Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Oregon State Beavers

2026: 0-1 · Elo 1264 · #229 of 240 · 20.0 for, 33.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs TTU · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

12641500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
-5.6
SP+ (2025)
-15.9
Talent composite
636
Returning production
58%

How they play

Pass rate
52%
Standard-down share
69%
Plays / game
63
Possession / game
31:52

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Stuff rate
#24 · 16%
Power success
#30 · 77%
Interception rate
#42 · 1.9%
Rush success rate
#66 · 44%
Rush explosiveness
#134 · 0.73
Pass explosiveness
#132 · 1.32
Passing-down PPA
#130 · +0.05
Points / scoring opportunity
#127 · 2.89

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Interceptions forced
#15 · 3.7%
Third-down conversion
#16 · 33%
Line yards / rush
#17 · 2.60
Pass success rate
#18 · 36%
Pass explosiveness
#135 · 1.98
Passing-down PPA
#125 · +0.44
Takeaways / game
#117 · 0.83
Yards / pass attempt
#105 · 7.7
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1at#23 Houston CougarsL 20–33+21HOU 90%
Sep 12W2vs#12 Texas Tech Red Raiders-0.5TTU 97%
Sep 19W3vsMontana Grizzlies
Sep 26W4atUTEP Miners
Oct 3W5atColorado State Rams
Oct 10W6vsSan Diego State Aztecs
Oct 17W7vsWashington State Cougars
Oct 31W9atFresno State Bulldogs
Nov 7W10vsTexas State Bobcats
Nov 14W11atBoise State Broncos
Nov 21W12vsUtah State Aggies

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.