Houston Cougars
2026: 1-0 · Elo 1620 · #40 of 240 · 33.0 for, 20.0 against · ATS 0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- +7.4
- SP+ (2025)
- +7.4
- Talent composite
- 696
- Returning production
- 81%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 42%
- Standard-down share
- 70%
- Plays / game
- 71
- Possession / game
- 32:19
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Pass explosiveness
- #16 · 1.72
- Passing PPA / play
- #35 · +0.35
- Pass success rate
- #35 · 45%
- Havoc rate faced
- #37 · 13.4%
- Rushing PPA / play
- #131 · −0.03
- Rush explosiveness
- #130 · 0.80
- Line yards / rush
- #123 · 2.61
- Stuff rate
- #107 · 21%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Rush explosiveness
- #5 · 0.78
- Line yards / rush
- #32 · 2.70
- Pass success rate
- #35 · 38%
- Yards / rush
- #35 · 3.7
- Rush success rate
- #104 · 46%
- Power success
- #103 · 76%
- Points / scoring opportunity
- #94 · 3.91
- Yards / pass attempt
- #64 · 7.1
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | vs Oregon State Beavers | W 33–20 | -21 | HOU 90% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | vs Southern Jaguars | — | — | HOU 76% | — | — |
| Sep 18W3 | at #12 Texas Tech Red Raiders | — | +13.5 | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | at Georgia Southern Eagles | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | vs UCF Knights | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | at Kansas State Wildcats | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | vs Oklahoma State Cowboys | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | at #21 Utah Utes | — | +6.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | vs Cincinnati Bearcats | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 13W11 | at Colorado Buffaloes | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | at West Virginia Mountaineers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | vs Baylor Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.