Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Pittsburgh Panthers

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1651 · #34 of 240 · 59.0 for, 14.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs UCF · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

16511500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
+6.2
SP+ (2025)
+8.4
Talent composite
675
Returning production
40%

How they play

Pass rate
55%
Standard-down share
67%
Plays / game
61
Possession / game
28:56

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#29 · 1.66
Passing PPA / play
#40 · +0.34
Yards / pass attempt
#48 · 7.7
Rush explosiveness
#51 · 1.01
Stuff rate
#128 · 24%
Turnovers / game
#124 · 1.77
Yards / rush
#121 · 3.6
Line yards / rush
#121 · 2.63

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Yards / rush
#3 · 2.7
Line yards / rush
#6 · 2.34
Rushing PPA / play
#7 · −0.06
Rush success rate
#7 · 34%
Pass explosiveness
#109 · 1.65
Points / scoring opportunity
#83 · 3.81
Completion %
#81 · 63%
Rush explosiveness
#68 · 0.96
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsMiami (OH) RedHawksW 59–14-16.5PITT 77%
Sep 12W2vsUCF Knights-8.5PITT 72%
Sep 17W3vsSyracuse Orange
Sep 26W4vsBucknell Bison
Oct 2W5atVirginia Tech Hokies
Oct 10W6vsNorth Carolina Tar Heels
Oct 17W7atBoston College Eagles
Oct 24W8at#7 Miami Hurricanes
Oct 31W9vsGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Nov 13W11vsFlorida State Seminoles
Nov 21W12at#24 Louisville Cardinals
Nov 28W13atCalifornia Golden Bears

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.