Liberty Flames
2026: 0-1 · Elo 1364 · #192 of 240 · 13.0 for, 20.0 against · ATS 0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- -5.3
- SP+ (2025)
- -9.0
- Talent composite
- 633
- Returning production
- 38%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 40%
- Standard-down share
- 71%
- Plays / game
- 66
- Possession / game
- 30:40
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Rushing PPA / play
- #37 · +0.18
- Rush success rate
- #39 · 47%
- Stuff rate
- #42 · 17%
- Yards / rush
- #47 · 4.6
- Completion %
- #126 · 55%
- Turnovers / game
- #118 · 1.75
- Pass success rate
- #85 · 40%
- Passing PPA / play
- #85 · +0.21
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Interceptions forced
- #18 · 3.7%
- Completion %
- #25 · 58%
- Pass success rate
- #39 · 39%
- Yards / pass attempt
- #49 · 6.7
- Passing-down PPA
- #132 · +0.50
- Third-down conversion
- #117 · 44%
- Rushing PPA / play
- #117 · +0.19
- Havoc rate
- #116 · 13.2%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | at James Madison Dukes | L 13–20 | +6 | JMU 89% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | — | — | LIB 53% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | vs Ball State Cardinals | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 24W4 | at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 2W5 | at Delaware Blue Hens | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 8W6 | vs Sam Houston Bearkats | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 22W8 | at Kennesaw State Owls | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | vs Florida International Panthers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | at New Mexico State Aggies | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | at Missouri State Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.