TCU Horned Frogs
2026: 0-1 · Elo 1585 · #52 of 240 · 10.0 for, 15.0 against · ATS 0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- +9.4
- SP+ (2025)
- +8.3
- Talent composite
- 731
- Returning production
- 22%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 53%
- Standard-down share
- 67%
- Plays / game
- 67
- Possession / game
- 28:52
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Third-down conversion
- #14 · 47%
- Passing PPA / play
- #20 · +0.41
- Passing-down PPA
- #20 · +0.45
- Completion %
- #23 · 67%
- Rush explosiveness
- #121 · 0.83
- Stuff rate
- #113 · 22%
- Line yards / rush
- #112 · 2.70
- Rushing PPA / play
- #108 · +0.04
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Interceptions forced
- #23 · 3.5%
- Rush success rate
- #23 · 38%
- Rush explosiveness
- #25 · 0.88
- Takeaways / game
- #32 · 1.62
- Pass explosiveness
- #110 · 1.65
- Passing-down PPA
- #96 · +0.35
- Yards / pass attempt
- #95 · 7.5
- Stuff rate forced
- #94 · 17%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29W1 | vs North Carolina Tar Heels | L 10–15 | -7.5 | TCU 77% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | vs Grambling Tigers | — | — | TCU 76% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | vs Arkansas State Red Wolves | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | at UCF Knights | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | vs #14 BYU Cougars | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | at Baylor Bears | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | vs West Virginia Mountaineers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | vs Kansas Jayhawks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 6W10 | atArizona Wildcats | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | vs Kansas State Wildcats | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | vs #21 Utah Utes | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 26W13 | at #12 Texas Tech Red Raiders | — | +16.5 | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.