Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Boise State Broncos

2026: 0-1 · Elo 1548 · #66 of 240 · 27.0 for, 34.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs MEM · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

15481500 = average

Model on this team

Winner calls
1/1
Against the spread
1-0
Avg CLV
0.00 pts
SP+ (2026)
+5.1
SP+ (2025)
+3.1
Talent composite
641
Returning production
66%

How they play

Pass rate
47%
Standard-down share
67%
Plays / game
65
Possession / game
32:51

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Power success
#22 · 79%
Third-down conversion
#26 · 46%
Stuff rate
#32 · 16%
Standard-down PPA
#38 · +0.17
Completion %
#108 · 58%
Turnovers / game
#96 · 1.50
Interception rate
#81 · 3.0%
Pass success rate
#81 · 41%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass success rate
#6 · 33%
Passing PPA / play
#7 · +0.08
Completion %
#8 · 54%
Yards / pass attempt
#19 · 6.2
Rush explosiveness
#133 · 1.22
Rushing PPA / play
#119 · +0.20
Pass explosiveness
#115 · 1.68
Yards / rush
#113 · 4.9
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1at#2 Oregon DucksL 27–34+24.5ORE 83%win0.0
Sep 12W2vsMemphis Tigers-6.5MEM 55%
Sep 19W3vsSouth Dakota Coyotes
Sep 26W4atWestern Michigan Broncos
Oct 3W5vsUtah State Aggies
Oct 10W6atFresno State Bulldogs
Oct 24W8atWashington State Cougars
Oct 31W9vsTexas State Bobcats
Nov 7W10atColorado State Rams
Nov 14W11vsOregon State Beavers
Nov 21W12vsSan Diego State Aztecs

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.