Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Ohio State Buckeyes

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1938 · #2 of 240 · 56.0 for, 3.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: at TEX · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

19381500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
+32.7
SP+ (2025)
+30.1
Talent composite
964
Returning production
68%

How they play

Pass rate
51%
Standard-down share
76%
Plays / game
55
Possession / game
33:00

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass success rate
#1 · 58%
Completion %
#1 · 77%
Passing PPA / play
#3 · +0.54
Third-down conversion
#3 · 53%
Rush explosiveness
#132 · 0.78
Pass explosiveness
#116 · 1.42
Rushing PPA / play
#88 · +0.08
Stuff rate
#72 · 19%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#1 · 1.25
Yards / pass attempt
#2 · 5.3
Rush success rate
#3 · 31%
Rushing PPA / play
#4 · −0.09
Takeaways / game
#99 · 1.00
Interceptions forced
#72 · 2.3%
Havoc rate
#56 · 16.3%
Completion %
#55 · 61%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1vsBall State CardinalsW 56–3-49.5OSU 98%
Sep 12W2at#5 Texas Longhorns+1.5OSU 62%
Sep 19W3vsKent State Golden Flashes
Sep 26W4vsIllinois Fighting Illini
Oct 3W5at#22 Iowa Hawkeyes
Oct 10W6vsMaryland Terrapins
Oct 17W7at#6 Indiana Hoosiers+1.5
Oct 31W9at#14 USC Trojans-7.5
Nov 7W10vs#2 Oregon Ducks-6
Nov 14W11vsNorthwestern Wildcats
Nov 21W12atNebraska Cornhuskers
Nov 28W13vs#16 Michigan Wolverines-13.5

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.