
Ohio State Buckeyes
2026: 1-0 · Elo 1938 · #2 of 240 · 56.0 for, 3.0 against · ATS 1-0
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- +32.7
- SP+ (2025)
- +30.1
- Talent composite
- 964
- Returning production
- 68%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 51%
- Standard-down share
- 76%
- Plays / game
- 55
- Possession / game
- 33:00
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Pass success rate
- #1 · 58%
- Completion %
- #1 · 77%
- Passing PPA / play
- #3 · +0.54
- Third-down conversion
- #3 · 53%
- Rush explosiveness
- #132 · 0.78
- Pass explosiveness
- #116 · 1.42
- Rushing PPA / play
- #88 · +0.08
- Stuff rate
- #72 · 19%
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Pass explosiveness
- #1 · 1.25
- Yards / pass attempt
- #2 · 5.3
- Rush success rate
- #3 · 31%
- Rushing PPA / play
- #4 · −0.09
- Takeaways / game
- #99 · 1.00
- Interceptions forced
- #72 · 2.3%
- Havoc rate
- #56 · 16.3%
- Completion %
- #55 · 61%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5W1 | vs | W 56–3 | -49.5 | OSU 98% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | at | — | +1.5 | OSU 62% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | vs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | at | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | vs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | at | — | +1.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 31W9 | at#14 USC Trojans | — | -7.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | vs | — | -6 | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | vs | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 21W12 | at | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | vs | — | -13.5 | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.