Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Miami (OH) RedHawks

2026: 0-1 · Elo 1427 · #137 of 240 · 14.0 for, 59.0 against · ATS 0-1

Next: vs HC · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

14271500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
-4.0
SP+ (2025)
-3.4
Talent composite
621
Returning production
14%

How they play

Pass rate
47%
Standard-down share
68%
Plays / game
59
Possession / game
29:48

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#27 · 1.68
Line yards / rush
#33 · 3.14
Havoc rate faced
#34 · 13.3%
Turnovers / game
#37 · 1.07
Completion %
#135 · 50%
Pass success rate
#118 · 36%
Rush explosiveness
#113 · 0.87
Interception rate
#111 · 3.8%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Completion %
#18 · 57%
Standard-down PPA
#22 · +0.01
Havoc rate
#25 · 17.8%
Pass explosiveness
#27 · 1.46
Third-down conversion
#106 · 43%
Power success
#86 · 73%
Interceptions forced
#59 · 2.5%
Pass success rate
#52 · 40%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 5W1atPittsburgh PanthersL 14–59+16.5PITT 77%
Sep 12W2vsHoly Cross CrusadersM-OH 55%
Sep 19W3atCincinnati Bearcats
Sep 26W4vsUConn Huskies
Oct 3W5vsBowling Green Falcons
Oct 10W6atMassachusetts Minutemen
Oct 17W7vsAkron Zips
Oct 24W8atCentral Michigan Chippewas
Nov 3W10vsBuffalo Bulls
Nov 10W11vsOhio Bobcats
Nov 17W12atKent State Golden Flashes
Nov 24W13atWestern Michigan Broncos

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.