Michigan State Spartans
2026: 1-0 · Elo 1501 · #80 of 240 · 30.0 for, 20.0 against · ATS 0-0-1
Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.
Model on this team
No locked picks graded yet this season.
- SP+ (2026)
- +2.2
- SP+ (2025)
- -3.4
- Talent composite
- 685
- Returning production
- 21%
How they play
- Pass rate
- 51%
- Standard-down share
- 70%
- Plays / game
- 62
- Possession / game
- 30:12
Offense · best and worst (of 135)
- Interception rate
- #17 · 1.3%
- Turnovers / game
- #36 · 1.00
- Passing-down PPA
- #44 · +0.37
- Completion %
- #53 · 63%
- Stuff rate
- #131 · 25%
- Line yards / rush
- #127 · 2.56
- Havoc rate faced
- #115 · 18.0%
- Standard-down PPA
- #111 · +0.02
Defense · best and worst (of 135)
- Pass explosiveness
- #35 · 1.47
- Rush explosiveness
- #43 · 0.91
- Line yards / rush
- #64 · 2.87
- Passing-down PPA
- #86 · +0.33
- Takeaways / game
- #129 · 0.75
- Power success
- #124 · 81%
- Rush success rate
- #120 · 47%
- Completion %
- #115 · 66%
2026 schedule
| Date | Opponent | Result | Line | Model | ATS | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4W1 | vs Toledo Rockets | W 30–20 | -10 | TOL 62% | — | — |
| Sep 12W2 | vs Eastern Michigan Eagles | — | -16.5 | MSU 79% | — | — |
| Sep 19W3 | at #4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sep 26W4 | vs Nebraska Cornhuskers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 3W5 | at Wisconsin Badgers | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 10W6 | vs Illinois Fighting Illini | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 17W7 | vs Northwestern Wildcats | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oct 24W8 | atUCLA Bruins | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 7W10 | at #16 Michigan Wolverines | — | +16.5 | — | — | — |
| Nov 14W11 | vs #17 Washington Huskies | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 20W12 | vs #2 Oregon Ducks | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nov 28W13 | atRutgers Scarlet Knights | — | — | — | — | — |
Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.