Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Minnesota Golden Gophers

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1582 · #54 of 240 · 59.0 for, 7.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs MSST · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

15821500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
+6.2
SP+ (2025)
+1.5
Talent composite
729
Returning production
65%

How they play

Pass rate
57%
Standard-down share
67%
Plays / game
53
Possession / game
29:23

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Turnovers / game
#5 · 0.69
Power success
#56 · 73%
Completion %
#59 · 63%
Interception rate
#62 · 2.3%
Pass explosiveness
#126 · 1.39
Line yards / rush
#125 · 2.60
Yards / pass attempt
#123 · 6.2
Rush success rate
#118 · 38%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Pass explosiveness
#28 · 1.46
Havoc rate
#29 · 17.6%
Yards / rush
#41 · 3.8
Passing PPA / play
#52 · +0.20
Completion %
#125 · 67%
Passing-down PPA
#110 · +0.38
Pass success rate
#109 · 44%
Interceptions forced
#97 · 1.9%
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 3W1vsEastern Illinois PanthersW 59–7-42.5MINN 72%
Sep 12W2vsMississippi State Bulldogs+1.5MINN 62%
Sep 19W3vsAkron Zips
Sep 26W4at#17 Washington Huskies
Oct 3W5vs#16 Michigan Wolverines
Oct 10W6atPurdue Boilermakers
Oct 24W8vs#22 Iowa Hawkeyes
Oct 31W9at#6 Indiana Hoosiers
Nov 7W10vsUCLA Bruins
Nov 14W11at#18 Penn State Nittany Lions
Nov 21W12vsNorthwestern Wildcats
Nov 27W13atWisconsin Badgers

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.