Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Utah Utes

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1838 · #9 of 240 · 66.0 for, 14.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: vs ARK · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

18381500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
+9.8
SP+ (2025)
+22.2
Talent composite
696
Returning production
68%

How they play

Pass rate
44%
Standard-down share
72%
Plays / game
63
Possession / game
30:48

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Yards / rush
#1 · 6.0
Rushing PPA / play
#2 · +0.35
Line yards / rush
#2 · 3.55
Passing-down PPA
#2 · +0.65
Interception rate
#122 · 4.0%
Pass explosiveness
#83 · 1.52
Completion %
#61 · 63%
Yards / pass attempt
#54 · 7.5

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Completion %
#1 · 49%
Passing PPA / play
#4 · +0.01
Passing-down PPA
#6 · +0.10
Pass success rate
#8 · 33%
Interceptions forced
#128 · 1.3%
Rush explosiveness
#125 · 1.11
Pass explosiveness
#117 · 1.70
Rushing PPA / play
#114 · +0.18
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 3W1vsIdaho VandalsW 66–14-37.5UTAH 90%
Sep 12W2vsArkansas Razorbacks-10.5UTAH 90%
Sep 19W3vsUtah State Aggies
Sep 26W4atIowa State Cyclones
Oct 10W6vsKansas Jayhawks
Oct 17W7atColorado Buffaloes
Oct 24W8vs#23 Houston Cougars-6.5
Oct 31W9atCincinnati Bearcats
Nov 7W10vs#14 BYU Cougars-3
Nov 14W11atArizona Wildcats
Nov 21W12atTCU Horned Frogs
Nov 27W13vsWest Virginia Mountaineers

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.