Probetrics — Sports Analytics
College Football slate
Eastern Washington Eagles
0-1 last yr · #150 Elo
at
Sat, Sep 19, 7:15 PM ET
Husky Stadium
Washington Huskies
9-4 last yr · #18 Elo
Spread Total Moneyline

The read

On rating alone Washington Huskies are 19.1 points better (#18 vs #150 of 240), and WASH add 0.0 for home field.

Who has the edge

Rating
Clear edge
WASH
WASH rated 19.1 points better on Elo (#18 vs #150).
Home & rest
Even
WASH gets 0.0 points for home field.
Passing game
not priced
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Rushing game
not priced
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Third down & red zone
not priced
Ranks unavailable.
context · not in the margin
Form (last 5)
Clear edge
WASH
WASH +16.6 per game over the last five, EWU −37.0.
context · not in the margin
Market
not priced
No line yet.
context · not in the margin

The margin, factor by factor

Eastern Washington EaglesWashington Huskies
1413 Elo · #150
RatingThe Elo gap in points — the model's core read on who is better, before the situational pieces below.
WASH +19.1 pts
1757 Elo · #18
road
Home field
not priced
home
Rest
even
−12.8 pts vs WASH D
Offense vs defenseEach offense's scoring rating against the other defense's — what drives the model total. Shown as an edge, though the winner call runs on Elo.
WASH +26.4 pts
+13.6 pts vs EWU D
L · −37.0
Form (last 5)Average margin over the last five games. Already inside the ratings — listed so you can see when recent form and the rating disagree.
WASH +26.8 pts
W L W W L · +16.6
MarketThe consensus spread, read as points. Compare with the model margin above it.
not priced

Bars are in points toward the favored side. Blue factors are inside the model's margin; grey ones are context it does not add on top (form and offense/defense are already in the ratings; injuries beyond the quarterback are not priced).

Dissect the matchup

CollegeFootballData, garbage time excluded · 2025 season (last season until three games are in)

Season

EWUWASH
0-1Record9-4
14.0Points for / game34.1
51.0Points against / game18.7
0-0 / 0-1Home / road6-2 / 3-2
0-1Against the spread7-6
1-0Over / underOvers–unders in this team's games. A tendency, not a lean.6-7
LLast 5W L W W L

Season numbers are from 2025 until this season has games.

Power ratings

EWUWASH
1413Elo1757
#150 of 240Rank#18 of 240
−1.6Offense ratingPoints per game above league average scored, opponent-adjusted.+8.5
−5.1Defense ratingPoints per game below league average allowed, opponent-adjusted. Positive is good.+11.1
Strength of scheduleMean Elo of opponents faced this season.

Elo drives the winner call. Offense/defense ratings drive the total.

Head to head

No meetings in our history.

How the margin was built

Rating gap
WASH +19.1 pts
Home field
WASH +— pts
Rest
Even
Weather / roof
— pts on the total
Model margin
Model total

Market

Spread
Total
Moneyline

Per-book prices appear once the multi-book feed has this game (about a week out).

Informational only. Winner probabilities are backtested and calibrated; spread and total calls are tracked leans. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.