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Washington State Cougars at #17Washington Huskies
Sun, Sep 6, 4:00 PM ET · Husky Stadium · 69° · Partly sunny
WASH -23.5 · O/U 51.5
WSU +1200 · WASH -2400
WinnerProbability the picked team wins, from a normal on the model's predicted margin. Backtested and calibrated: when it says 65%, it has been right about 63–65% of the time.Solid
WASH -2400
69%
model margin WASH by 8.8
SpreadWhich side the model's margin lands on versus the spread. A lean, not a proven edge: against closing NFL lines the model covers about 49% in backtest, so this is tracked in public rather than sold.Lean +
WSU +23.5
55%
14.7 pts from the number
TotalModel total (scoring ratings + weather + roof) versus the posted total. Same caveat as the spread: a lean, tracked in public.Lean +
Under 51.5
52%
model total 46.2
Power ratings
| Team | Elo | Off | Def | SOS | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington State Cougars | 1598 | 1.2 | 9.4 | — | 0 |
| Washington Huskies | 1702 | 8.5 | 11.1 | — | 0 |
Off/Def are points above league average scored / prevented, opponent-adjusted. SOS is the mean Elo of opponents faced this season.
How the margin was built
- Rating gap
- WASH +104 Elo
- Home field
- WASH +3.1 pts
- Rest
- Even
- Weather / roof
- 0.0 pts on the total
- Model margin
- WASH by 8.8
- Market spread
- WASH -23.5
- Model total
- 46.2 vs 51.5
- Moneyline
- WSU +1200 · WASH -2400
Informational only. Winner probabilities are backtested and calibrated; spread and total calls are tracked leans. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.