Rangers at Senators: NHL, Oct 24, 2026

Model pick: Senators (53%), locked Oct 24; Senators won 7–4 (graded a hit).

New York Rangers

Ottawa Senators

4–7

Final

Win probability

NYR 47%

53% OTT

Ottawa Senators won, 7–4. The pick was Ottawa Senators at 53% — correct.

Save image Square

Margin the probability implies

OTT by 0.2

goals

OTT win probability

53%

overtime and shootout included

Right at this confidence

56%

Won 42 of 75 at 50–55% · 90% range 47–65%

Winner picks only; a game decided in overtime or a shootout counts like any other. Where books price a game, the win probability is the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before puck drop and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model is tested →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.