Canadiens at Blackhawks: NHL, Oct 23, 2026

Model pick: Canadiens (60%), locked Oct 23; Canadiens won 4–1 (graded a hit).

Montreal Canadiens

Chicago Blackhawks

4–1

Final

Win probability

MTL 60%

40% CHI

Montreal Canadiens won, 4–1. The pick was Montreal Canadiens at 60% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

MTL by 0.5

goals

MTL win probability

60%

overtime and shootout included

Right at this confidence

77%

Won 30 of 39 at 60–65% · 90% range 64–86%

Winner picks only; a game decided in overtime or a shootout counts like any other. Where books price a game, the win probability is the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before puck drop and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model is tested →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.