Hurricanes at Oilers: NHL, Oct 22, 2026

Model pick: Hurricanes (55%), locked Oct 22; Oilers won 6–5 (graded a miss).

Carolina Hurricanes

Edmonton Oilers

5–6

Final (SO)

Win probability

CAR 55%

45% EDM

Edmonton Oilers won, 6–5. The pick was Carolina Hurricanes at 55% — incorrect.

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Margin the probability implies

CAR by 0.3

goals

CAR win probability

55%

overtime and shootout included

Right at this confidence

55%

Won 29 of 53 at 55–60% · 90% range 44–65%

Winner picks only; a game decided in overtime or a shootout counts like any other. Where books price a game, the win probability is the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before puck drop and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model is tested →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.