Wild at Flames: NHL, Oct 22, 2026

Model pick: Wild (66%), locked Oct 22; Flames won 2–1 (graded a miss).

Minnesota Wild

Calgary Flames

1–2

Final

Win probability

MIN 66%

34% CGY

Calgary Flames won, 2–1. The pick was Minnesota Wild at 66% — incorrect.

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Margin the probability implies

MIN by 0.9

goals

MIN win probability

66%

overtime and shootout included

Right at this confidence

12 of 20

Too early to read: 20 graded at 65–70%

Winner picks only; a game decided in overtime or a shootout counts like any other. Where books price a game, the win probability is the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before puck drop and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model is tested →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.