Bruins at Stars: NHL, Oct 20, 2026

Model pick: Stars (60%), locked Oct 20; Stars won 3–2 (graded a hit).

Boston Bruins

Dallas Stars

2–3

Final (OT)

Win probability

BOS 40%

60% DAL

Dallas Stars won, 3–2. The pick was Dallas Stars at 60% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

DAL by 0.5

goals

DAL win probability

60%

overtime and shootout included

Right at this confidence

77%

Won 30 of 39 at 60–65% · 90% range 64–86%

Winner picks only; a game decided in overtime or a shootout counts like any other. Where books price a game, the win probability is the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before puck drop and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model is tested →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.